“You always want to plan for the most likely scenario at the minimum and prepare for a reasonable worst case scenario which means how bad it could get,” Sharp said. “Small changes in the forecast can end up making a big difference by the time it gets to us on day four or five.” “Stay up to date with the forecasts,” Sharp said. “At this point really the right message for those living in Florida is that you have to watch forecasts and get ready and prepare yourself for potential impact from this tropical system,” he said.ĭavid Sharp, a forecaster with the National Weather Service in Melbourne, said now is time for Central Florida residents to pay attention to Ian’s forecast.Įxplanation of the National Hurricane Center’s forecast cone for storms. He said Floridians should begin preparations, including gathering supplies for potential power outages.
John Cangialosi, a senior hurricane specialist at the Miami-based hurricane center, said it was not yet clear exactly where Ian will hit hardest. “We are continuing to monitor Tropical Storm Ian,” DeSantis told reporters gathered at the state Emergency Operations Center in Tallahassee. Ron DeSantis said Sunday.įrom Tallahassee, DeSantis urged Floridians Sunday to be prepared for the worst and pay attention to any shifts in the storm’s path. Hurricane Warnings remain for Grand Cayman and parts of Cuba, where significant wind and storm impacts are expected within the next 36 hours.įlorida will be impacted by the storm, regardless of where it may come ashore, Gov. The next forecast track adjustment from the NHC is scheduled for 11 a.m. “Follow any advice given by local officials and closely monitor updates to the forecast.” “Regardless of Ian’s exact track and intensity, there is a risk of dangerous storm surge, hurricane-force winds, and heavy rainfall along the west coast of Florida and the Florida Panhandle by the middle of this week, and residents in Florida should ensure they have their hurricane plan in place,” the hurricane center warned.
Whether it’s a direct hit in west Central Florida or in the panhandle, Hurricane Ian will have a significant impact weather in Florida this week. “Users should not focus on the details of the track forecast at longer time ranges.” “It should again be stressed that there is still significant uncertainty in the track of Ian, especially in the 3-5 day time frame.” “The official track forecast has been shifted somewhat to the east of the previous one and is mainly a blend of the latest ECMWF and GFS predictions,” NHC forecasters said Sunday night. The chances for tornadoes begin late Monday and Tuesday across the Florida Keys and then into the southern and central Florida peninsula, the NHC said.Ĭomputer forecast models late Friday still weren’t in perfect alignment on where the storm may go – a landfall north of the Tampa Bay area or one farther north in Florida’s panhandle. “Limited flood impacts and rises on area streams and rivers are possible over northern Florida and portions of the Southeast mid-to-late week.” “Considerable flooding impacts are possible mid-to-late week in central Florida given already saturated antecedent conditions, and flash and urban flooding is possible with rainfall across the Florida Keys and the Florida peninsula through mid week,” the forecast said.
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